Rumsfeld Out, Jim Webb In: The Mudcat Paradigm
by Bernie Quigley - for The Free Market News Network, 11/08/06
When most prognosticators look to the future they see flying cars and colonies on Mars. I see the Latin Mass and politicians in tents, smoking cigars on the lawns outside their public buildings. Today we see the end of the Millennium. The Apocalypse has passed. My old country people in the western hills of
From its neocon conception, the war on
And in the truest of orientations, Chicago, Houston and
But we do not invent history. History invents us. Today the war is over. I’m not sure who won, but I know who lost: George W. Bush.
When I went to bed last night I was a little depressed listening to Joe Lieberman drone on as if in a trance about his victory, telling us again how much he thanks God and quoting the Psalms and letting us know, don’t you know, that he, this most expedient and uncertain of all post-war politicians, keeps the Sabbath.
But as Wesley Clark pointed out in a dramatic political ad in
In the simple country church I grew up in we took our guidance from the Son. As I recall, the idea was that the things of the Father were not those of Caesar, and perhaps there was a special place in the Everworld for those who took the Lord’s name and forged it to their swords.
But it was good to see it end as it began. When Lieberman demanded a recount in
Late last night the venerables at CBS were asked who they thought the big losers were in this election. One said he thought Senator John Kerry's chances for 08 were weakened by his unfortunate comments a few days ago. E.J. Dionne Jr. of The Washington Post commented on Senator Clinton, saying she was actually boring and now that her campaign for President has officially started, she would be seen as a poor substitute for Elvis One. It is something we will experience increasingly in the next two years.
And that could pass now as well.
We are at a classic political turning, shifting politics and culture from third to fourth generations. The "turnings" are dangerous links between smaller historical periods. We began to see the positive rise in the last election, 2004. Here in
Today the "new force" is stronger and the Democrats have taken the House and possibly the Senate. But the most important observation of the venerables (Katie Couric’s) was that these new Democrats are in opposition to the old Democrats. They are cut of an entirely different cloth than the old Democrats. They are moderates. Many of them are veterans and some veterans of the
For the first time since Ronald Reagan rose to high office, Democrats have begun to appeal to the South and the
When Mark Warner ran for Governor of Virginia he first established this model for bringing Democrats in the South back to their traditional party with the help of Steve Jarding and Dave “Mudcat” Saunders. They have written a book about their strategy called, Foxes in the Henhouse: How the Republicans Stole the South and the Heartland and What the Democrats Must Do to Run 'em Out.
In a recent interview in the Augusta Free Press, Jarding said, "I don't think you necessarily have to be from the South to win in the South. I think if you've got the right message, I believe very strongly that a leader can go anywhere and rally people to his or her side.”
"Having said that, there are people,” he continued, “if you look at history, whether it's Jimmy Carter or Bill Clinton, there will be people who say that we have to go with somebody from the South. If that indeed is an important criterion, it helps potentially two people - John Edwards and Wes Clark, Edwards being from
He thinks Edwards might be more on the outside looking in as far as his chance to top the ticket in '08 is concerned.
Jarding says the interesting dark horse is Wesley Clark.
"He can make the case, one, that he's from the South, two, if the Democrats try to convince themselves that the '08 election is about the economy, they're crazy, because it's going to be about the war. It's not going well, it's not going to change - at least there's not anything in the cards that suggests that it's going to turn around, because Bush is stubbornly saying that he's going to stay the course.
"So I think the war is going to be the top issue - and here you have a very successful general in Wes Clark, and I think the upside to
In 2008, this "new force" could well succeed. Warner, Jarding and Mudcat Saunders have opened the paradigm for the fourth generation of post-war politics. Jarding and Saunders next went to work for Jim Webb and now Saunders is working for John Edwards.
Alan Greenspan made the important observation last spring that both mainstream political parties are polarized, and have left behind the 80% of mainstream voters. Time is right for a third party to speak to that center, he said. But that third force could just as easily develop within one of the two existing parties and the Mudcat Paradigm could now prevail as a victorious new direction for the Democrats.
Since the 2004 primaries, the field of potential candidates for President has narrowed - Howard Dean is out, Warner is out, Kerry is possibly out, Senator Clinton is iffy. The moderate new Democrats could shift emphasis and Congressional support to John Edwards and General Clark.
This would be, in effect, a red-state strategy for the Democrats. Kathleen Sebelius, Governor of Kansas, who was voted with Warner to be chief of one of the best governed states, would be a good choice to expand the Mudcat Paradigm concept from the Old Dominion to the mid states and the heartland of the
The Mudcat Paradigm should work in all red states. Such "Southern based" politics would be welcome here in